Heisenberg's 1000 Game Churchill Challenge

Each day since the very first day looks the same to me. A few games of good to great wn8 and then a game or two of very low scores.

And although most of the time, the wn8 doesn't effect the win or loss, it is still always there.

That's what doesn't make any sense to me. As @HeisenbergWOTS put it, it's as if he completely forgets how to play for a game or two or three, then goes right back to being good to great again.

What makes it even worse is that the Churchill III has preferred MM. It will only see T6 at most, so there's no reason he would find himself in a game where he couldn't perform decently.

I mean, it's not like he's in a Tiger P just staring out with the 75mm gun and stock turret facing T9 heavies.

I'm wondering if there's a correlation between the T6 games and low wn8 or not.

Probably should start a spreadsheet on this stuff and see if we can find out.
 
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Day 8 results. The MM today was really really slow. It took 2 or 3 minutes to get a game most of the time. A few times I had to cancel and restart after it went past 3 minutes. Not sure what was going on as the usual number of people were there. Around 7000. Anyway it was yet another shit show for the RNG. It sure felt like it was worse than usual today. Maybe that was just me. This is also the very first day since I started that I went exactly 50%.

Day-8-game-1-loss.jpgDay-8-game-2-loss.jpgDay-8-game-3-win.jpgDay-8-game-4-win.jpgDay-8-game-5-win.jpgDay-8-game-6-win.jpgDay-8-game-7-loss.jpgDay-8-game-8-loss.jpgDay-8-game-9-loss.jpgDay-8-game-10-win.jpg

And here's the tank stats for day 8.
Day-8-tank-stats.jpg

And here's the games.
Day-8-game-results.jpg
 
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Day 9 results are in. This is rigged bullshit. I have no doubt about that anymore. Right after I posted about losing my ass off it is literally like somebody just flipped a switch and I went on a winning streak to finish again at 50% win rate. 2 days in a row. This time though it felt a whole lot more obvious.
Day-9-game-1-loss.jpgDay-9-game-2-win.jpgDay-9-game3-loss.jpgDay-9-game4-loss.jpgDay-9-game5-loss.jpgDay-9-game6-loss.jpgDay-9-game-7-win.jpgDay-9-game-8-win.jpgDay-9-game-9-win.jpgDay-9-game-10-win.jpg

And here's the tank stats for day 9.
Day-9-tank-stats.jpg

And here's the games.
Day-9-games.jpg
 
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How anybody can go from a 328 wn8 to a 3,600 wn8 in the same tank with the same crew is simply mind boggling to me.

And I know why you're doing this in one tank that you hadn't played, but a big part of me wonders if the same sort of thing would happen if you were playing different tanks as you went along.

Maybe a challenge for another day.
 
Quit after one loss.....quit after two wins?
In my opinion, that would be not only too hard to follow but have a tinge of manipulation to it.

But it would be interesting to see, wouldn't it?

Another idea would be to play just one game each day for 10 days and see how the win/loss rate as well as the wn8 scores match up to his other 10 game samples.
 
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Manipulation?!?! You mean like WG does to wn8?
Well, hear me out:

If you're intentionally quitting at a given trigger, you can inadvertently trigger a result. Example: say that their algorithm programs 3 rough games in a row (read as ridiculous RNG to make your games harder).

But you quit after the first one.

The next day you get another one and quit.

What if the trigger doesn't pull because the algorithm is stuck at one game because you never play more than one game?

The opposite also holds true. If you look at his results so far, it's very, very seldom a matter of just one game. It always takes two or three to break a cycle of really bad results.

The exception to that, of course, his very first day. He went for an 1834 wn8 and a 77% win rate with a 69% hit rate averaging 789 damage per game in a freaking Churchill III.

That's unheard of.

Yet he has not been able to replicate that performance ever since. It's been a slow, steady decline. It's almost like Wargaming said, "Here you go, kid. Enjoy dominating your first day as a gift for buying the tank, but after that, go fuck yourself."