Ukraine / Russia Thread


The negotiations between Mr. Prigozhin and President Aleksandr G. Lukashenko of Belarus opened the possibility that the rapidly evolving security crisis embroiling the Russian government could be resolved without armed fighting. But Mr. Prigozhin did not immediately say whether his forces were leaving the southern city of Rostov-on-Don, where he has seized critical military and civilian buildings.

In a brief address on Saturday morning, President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia called the mutiny an act of treason by people who were delivering “a stab in the back of our country and our people.”
Mr. Prigozhin, after lashing out on Friday at the Russian military over its handling of the war in Ukraine, took control of Rostov in the early morning and began moving his armed military convoys toward the Russian capital. Mr. Putin, in turn, scrambled security forces in southwestern Russia and Moscow.
The situation shifted quickly late Saturday when Mr. Lukashenko’s office, in a statement, said that Mr. Prigozhin had agreed to the Belarusian leader’s proposal “to stop the movement of armed persons of the Wagner company.” In an audio statement posted to Telegram shortly afterward, Mr. Prigozhin said he was “turning around” to avoid Russian bloodshed and “leaving in the opposite direction to field camps in accordance with the plan.”
 

It has also been assessed that the mercenary force had only 8,000 fighters rather than the 25,000 claimed and faced likely defeat in any attempt to take the Russian capital.

Vladimir Putin will now try to assimilate Wagner Group soldiers into the Russian military and take out its former leaders, according to insights shared with The Telegraph.

The analysis offers clues into the mystery of why Prigozhin, the Wagner Group leader, called off his mutinous march on Moscow on Saturday just hours before reaching the capital.

There remains speculation about what formal deal was struck, if any. The Kremlin said on Saturday that Prigozhin would head to Belarus in exchange for a pardon from charges of treason.
 
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Russia, of course, has lost over 2,000 tanks according to online researchers who visually confirm them. But this blast stands out. It was so powerful that the explosives hidden inside were likely to be measured in tons.

One expert noted the explosion didn't appear to decapitate the turret and send it flying like a so-called "jack-in-the-box," a common situation in which a direct hit cooks off the tank's ammo and unleashes secondary blasts. This blast, by contrast, appears to be even more powerful.

"I legitimately don't think there was a turret toss here, primarily because the turret ceased to exist," said OSINTtechnical, who is a defense analyst at the CNA research group, on Twitter.

The videos don't show any crew attempting to leave the tank. A Russian account of a previous kamikaze attack details how an armored vehicle was laden with bombs and roughly 3.5 tons of explosive, and then a crewman started it towards a Ukrainian position and hopped out.